Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.397777 1.613338 1.850577 2.130985 2.453339 2.812301 3.242396
2025-04-27 1.140328 1.432336 1.781033 2.227905 2.785347 3.457867 4.331199
2025-05-04 0.941511 1.273049 1.698078 2.282461 3.064976 4.076828 5.485583
2025-05-11 0.781886 1.129182 1.603536 2.297950 3.288353 4.650424 6.667733
2025-05-18 0.638641 0.979011 1.471337 2.234117 3.385782 5.060098 7.681893
2025-05-25 0.517172 0.837239 1.325076 2.121046 3.386831 5.322439 8.510843
2025-06-01 0.444434 0.756395 1.255243 2.108689 3.531848 5.810926 9.742771
2025-06-08 0.380238 0.677984 1.175819 2.065889 3.616974 6.209524 10.877966
2025-06-15 0.354171 0.659297 1.190936 2.180915 3.977673 7.101653 12.953489
2025-06-22 0.319999 0.620469 1.164804 2.218171 4.204775 7.789744 14.759694
2025-06-29 0.283031 0.570500 1.110953 2.195755 4.317597 8.284166 16.273040
2025-07-06 0.241965 0.506243 1.021092 2.091393 4.259297 8.451271 17.184162
2025-07-13 0.223880 0.486416 1.016613 2.158621 4.554863 9.349131 19.682974
2025-07-20 0.211395 0.476373 1.030458 2.265556 4.946986 10.491355 22.841384
2025-07-27 0.195857 0.457329 1.022907 2.326364 5.251467 11.495977 25.856271
2025-08-03 0.178684 0.431899 0.997927 2.345339 5.467782 12.343168 28.650431
2025-08-10 0.157690 0.394255 0.940338 2.282045 5.490309 12.771254 30.568653
2025-08-17 0.136198 0.351923 0.865731 2.167612 5.377044 12.877553 31.756189
2025-08-24 0.123676 0.329796 0.835636 2.155599 5.505754 13.557451 34.397132
2025-08-31 0.110890 0.304950 0.795320 2.112212 5.550916 14.044179 36.633148
2025-09-07 0.107657 0.304802 0.816911 2.230010 6.020197 15.625687 41.836485
2025-09-14 0.100794 0.293704 0.808667 2.268228 6.288005 16.737273 45.980731
2025-09-21 0.091947 0.275645 0.779390 2.245391 6.389582 17.435005 49.126187